Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 11.456843 13.207954 15.079298 17.221479 19.599204 22.150818 25.089305
2025-01-26 9.451486 11.787644 14.436032 17.638384 21.382299 25.597252 30.676548
2025-02-02 8.038310 10.718893 13.911814 17.949085 22.868346 28.616938 35.788069
2025-02-09 6.843270 9.699582 13.256632 17.934742 23.841608 30.965501 40.111599
2025-02-16 5.616507 8.457282 12.152415 17.198821 23.787902 31.969881 42.753564
2025-02-23 4.826242 7.678872 11.537565 16.985519 24.308667 33.631699 46.194087
2025-03-02 4.109248 6.905619 10.836293 16.566583 24.484586 34.802911 48.993981
2025-03-09 3.586459 6.345329 10.364276 16.397472 24.943781 36.314648 52.237944
2025-03-16 3.081599 5.747629 9.774534 15.999020 25.034578 37.301809 54.781527
2025-03-23 2.770460 5.416237 9.542154 16.083634 25.780499 39.173173 58.537519
2025-03-30 2.466893 5.059335 9.234123 16.022021 26.293303 40.717665 61.869804
2025-04-06 2.249690 4.823003 9.090810 16.189830 27.131259 42.725238 65.877839
2025-04-13 2.046349 4.590223 8.936655 16.332695 27.940831 44.725956 69.949542
2025-04-20 1.925507 4.494367 8.998608 16.814430 29.272573 47.508208 75.190577
2025-04-27 1.791022 4.355934 8.974139 17.147947 30.380588 49.987285 80.051532
2025-05-04 1.618255 4.120275 8.759016 17.148319 30.959550 51.692631 83.826468
2025-05-11 1.365705 3.686464 8.150733 16.443980 30.381488 51.639975 85.018404
2025-05-18 1.209218 3.433547 7.849428 16.240490 30.587049 52.759639 87.946571
2025-05-25 1.047283 3.143940 7.451391 15.837223 30.438738 53.320311 90.039578
2025-06-01 0.930132 2.939628 7.199085 15.674456 30.673786 54.468756 93.030205
2025-06-08 0.804428 2.693819 6.840171 15.290243 30.511027 54.978378 95.048290
2025-06-15 0.734802 2.578072 6.736481 15.371926 31.141760 56.751931 99.033768
2025-06-22 0.660074 2.436554 6.565303 15.312521 31.519924 58.124404 102.420325